Open AccessResearch on Multi-scenario Intelligent Forecasting Model of China’s Electric Power Consumption Driven by Policy
Author(s) -
Zhan Li,
Yan Gu
Publication year - 2019
Publication title -
iop conference series. earth and environmental science
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
eISSN - 1755-1307
pISSN - 1755-1315
DOI - 10.1088/1755-1315/332/4/042020
Subject(s) - consumption (sociology) , premise , electricity , china , economics , electric power industry , electric power , industrial production , production (economics) , environmental economics , civilization , power (physics) , economic system , industrial organization , microeconomics , engineering , macroeconomics , political science , law , sociology , social science , linguistics , philosophy , physics , quantum mechanics , electrical engineering
Electricity is the symbol of modern industrial civilization, the basic input of production and the necessities of people’s life. With the development of economy, the electric power industry plays an increasingly important role in the national economy. Accurate judgment of power demand is the premise of scientific planning, and its basis is a correct understanding of the law of power consumption, as well as a scientific understanding of the inherent relationship between power demand and economic development. Therefore, this paper systematically studies the relevant data of China from 1993 to 2018, carefully analyses the relationship between economic development and power consumption, reveals the basic law of power consumption and economic development, and on this basis, sets up different scenarios around industrial structure and power consumption structure, and makes multi-scenario prediction of China’s electricity demand in the coming 2020, 2030 and 2050 years, with a view to providing China’s electricity demand. Force demand planning and related policy formulation provide some reference.