Open AccessBetting on the best case: higher end warming is underrepresented in research
Author(s) -
Florian Ulrich Jehn,
MariePaule Schneider,
Jason Ruochen Wang,
Luke Kemp,
Lutz Breuer
Publication year - 2021
Publication title -
environmental research letters
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 2.37
H-Index - 124
ISSN - 1748-9326
DOI - 10.1088/1748-9326/ac13ef
Subject(s) - global warming , environmental science , warming up , climate change , climatology , ecology , geology , medicine , biology , physical therapy
We compare the probability of different warming rates to their mentions in IPCC reports through text mining. We find that there is a substantial mismatch between likely warming rates and research coverage. 1.5 °C and 2 °C scenarios are substantially overrepresented. More likely higher end warming scenarios of 3 °C and above, despite potential catastrophic impacts, are severely neglected.