Betting on the best case: higher end warming is underrepresented in research | Zendy

Florian Ulrich Jehn | Zendy; Marie Paule Schneider | Zendy; J. Wang | Zendy; Luke Kemp | Zendy; Lutz Breuer | Zendy

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Betting on the best case: higher end warming is underrepresented in research

Author(s) -

Florian Ulrich Jehn,

Marie Paule Schneider,

J. Wang,

Luke Kemp,

Lutz Breuer

Publication year - 2021

Publication title -

environmental research letters

Language(s) - English

Resource type - Journals

SCImago Journal Rank - 2.37

H-Index - 124

ISSN - 1748-9326

DOI - 10.1088/1748-9326/ac13ef

Subject(s) - global warming , environmental science , warming up , climate change , climatology , ecology , geology , medicine , biology , physical therapy

We compare the probability of different warming rates to their mentions in IPCC reports through text mining. We find that there is a substantial mismatch between likely warming rates and research coverage. 1.5 °C and 2 °C scenarios are substantially overrepresented. More likely higher end warming scenarios of 3 °C and above, despite potential catastrophic impacts, are severely neglected.

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