
Cleaner air has contributed one-fifth of US maize and soybean yield gains since 1999
Author(s) -
David B. Lobell,
Jennifer Burney
Publication year - 2021
Publication title -
environmental research letters
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 2.37
H-Index - 124
ISSN - 1748-9326
DOI - 10.1088/1748-9326/ac0fa4
Subject(s) - pollutant , yield (engineering) , particulates , environmental science , air quality index , air pollution , sulfur dioxide , ozone , nitrogen dioxide , agriculture , atmospheric sciences , air pollutants , agronomy , meteorology , chemistry , ecology , biology , geography , inorganic chemistry , materials science , organic chemistry , geology , metallurgy
Crop productivity is potentially affected by several air pollutants, although these are usually studied in isolation. A significant challenge to understanding the effects of multiple pollutants in many regions is the dearth of air quality data near agricultural fields. Here we empirically estimate the effect of four key pollutants (ozone (O 3 ), particulate matter (PM), sulfur dioxide (SO 2 ), and nitrogen dioxide (NO 2 )) on maize and soybean yields in the United States using a combination of administrative data and satellite-derived yield estimates. We identify clear negative effects of exposure to O 3 , PM, and SO 2 in both crops, using yields measured in the vicinity of monitoring stations. We also show that while stations measuring NO 2 are too sparse to reliably estimate a yield effect, the strong gradient of NO 2 concentrations near power plants allows us to more precisely estimate NO 2 effects using satellite measured yield gradients. The presence of some powerplants that turn on and others that shut down during the study period are particularly useful for attributing yield gradients to pollution. We estimate that total yield losses from these pollutants averaged roughly 5% for both maize and soybean over the past two decades. While all four pollutants have statistically significant effects, PM and NO 2 appear more damaging to crops at current levels than O 3 and SO 2 . Finally, we find that the significant improvement in air quality since 1999 has halved the impact of poor air quality on major crops and contributed to yield increases that represent roughly 20% of overall yield gains over that period.