Open AccessUrban Dynamic Expansion Computer Simulation of RF-NH-CA Model Considering Neighborhood Heterogeneity
Author(s) -
Junyi Li,
Minghao Liu,
Tianlin Liu,
Lei Jing
Publication year - 2021
Publication title -
journal of physics. conference series
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 0.21
H-Index - 85
eISSN - 1742-6596
pISSN - 1742-6588
DOI - 10.1088/1742-6596/2083/3/032032
Subject(s) - cellular automaton , random forest , spatial heterogeneity , computer science , dynamic simulation model , random effects model , simulation , environmental science , biological system , algorithm , artificial intelligence , ecology , biology , medicine , meta analysis
“Neighborhood” as the principle of “the closer the distance, the more relevant the attributes”, is often used as a key driving factor for the urban dynamic modeling of cellular automata; however, the current implementation of the “neighborhood” idea is mostly adopted Mean probability method. This method affects the accuracy of urban dynamic simulation to a certain extent because it ignores the spatial heterogeneity of neighboring cells. Based on the random forest method to evaluate the suitability probability of land use, this study uses the intensity gradient change characteristics of the luminous data to endow the traditional neighborhood cell heterogeneity characteristics, and builds a random forest neighborhood heterogeneity CA model (Random forest Neighborhood Heterogeneity Cellular Automata, RF-NH-CA), and verified the effectiveness of the model by simulating the changes in urban land use in the 21 districts of Chongqing’s main city from 2010 to 2017 through a multi-scheme comparative experiment. The results showed that the overall simulation accuracy of the RF-NH-CA model reached 97.59%, and the Kappa coefficient reached 0.7434; compared with the traditional models RF-CA, ANN-CA and Logistic-CA, FoM increased by 0.0274,0.0383,0.0579, respectively. The Kappa coefficient increased by 0.0162,0.0229,0.0351 respectively. Studies have shown that giving the neighborhood cell heterogeneity through luminous data has played a role in improving the accuracy of land use simulation, which is more in line with the real urban expansion.