Open AccessAnalysis and Forecast of Production Safety Accidents of Housing Municipal Engineering in China
Author(s) -
Kaixia Zheng
Publication year - 2020
Publication title -
journal of physics. conference series
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 0.21
H-Index - 85
eISSN - 1742-6596
pISSN - 1742-6588
DOI - 10.1088/1742-6596/1634/1/012090
Subject(s) - china , production (economics) , government (linguistics) , work (physics) , autoregressive integrated moving average , business , transport engineering , risk analysis (engineering) , computer science , operations research , operations management , engineering , geography , economics , time series , mechanical engineering , linguistics , philosophy , archaeology , machine learning , macroeconomics
The problem of production safety accidents in housing municipal engineering has always been a big trouble in China, which has clearly rebounded in recent years. This shows that China’s management performance in this regard still needs to be improved, and there is still a lot of work to be done to prevent and reduce the occurrence of accidents. This article collected data on 11,948 cases of production safety accidents in housing municipal engineering in 31 provinces, municipalities, and autonomous regions in China from 2003 to 2018. It performs data preprocessing and makes preliminary analysis; uses SPSS software to perform factor analysis, variance analysis, and cluster analysis based on the time and space dimensions of the data. Results show the total number of such production safety accidents is still very large, but there are certain regularities in the time and space dimensions. Relevant government departments and enterprises should focus on controlling the time and region where accidents occur frequently. Besides, this paper establishes the ARIMA model to predict the number of security accidents from 2020 to 2022, and the number of security accidents will continue to increase, so we should be vigilant and prevent it in advance.