Red Snapper in the Gulf of Mexico and U.S. South Atlantic: Data, Doubt, and Debate

Stock assessments provide fisheries managers with information that is used in the regulation of a fish stock. Assessments often rely upon a wide array of biological and fisheries data of varying quantity and quality, making the assessment process data hungry, complex, and uncertain. Assessment scientists face the difficulty of estimating numbers of individuals (among other biological benchmarks) of a population of widely distributed, often mobile, fishes for which direct measurement of almost everything is impossible. Consequently, stock assessment scientists are forced to use tools designed to assemble a variety of indirect measures into a statistical model capable of producing predictions to inform fisheries management about stock status and the consequences of past, current and future fishing practices. Despite large differences in estimates of the status of red snapper stocks in the Gulf of Mexico (U.S.) and south Atlantic Ocean (U.S.), and the management conclusions and decision drawn from these assessments, there are more similarities than differences in the basic data being used to inform assessment models, as well as in model outcomes concerning trends in biomass, catch‐at‐age and stock productivity. There are key differences in some of these data, and in how historical landings and uncertainty is handled in the assessment process, that result in large differences between the two management regions in beliefs about current and future productivity of red snapper stocks, and regulatory measures necessary for reaching management goals.