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Deliberate enhancement of rainfall using desert plantations
Author(s) -
Oliver Branch,
Volker Wulfmeyer
Publication year - 2019
Publication title -
proceedings of the national academy of sciences
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 5.011
H-Index - 771
eISSN - 1091-6490
pISSN - 0027-8424
DOI - 10.1073/pnas.1904754116
Subject(s) - afforestation , desert (philosophy) , arid , environmental science , climate change , scale (ratio) , vegetation (pathology) , scarcity , greenhouse gas , climate model , water scarcity , environmental resource management , agroforestry , climatology , water resources , geography , ecology , medicine , philosophy , cartography , epistemology , pathology , geology , economics , biology , microeconomics
Large-scale afforestation is increasingly being considered as a negative emissions method for sequestering large quantities of atmospheric CO 2 At the same time, regional weather modification methods, like cloud seeding, are being used to counteract increasing water scarcity in arid regions. Large-scale sustainable desert agroforestry plantations can contribute to climate change mitigation and can also be used to modify regional climate, particularly rainfall. Climate impacts from plantations need to be well understood before considering implementation. Typically, impact studies are attempted at continental or global scales and use coarse-resolution models, which suffer from severe systematic errors. This is highly problematic because decision makers should only countenance geoengineering schemes like global afforestation if impacts are understood on the regional scale. We posit the necessity of using high-resolution regional models with sophisticated representations of land-atmosphere feedback and vegetation. This approach allows for studying desert plantations and the process chain leading to climate modification. We demonstrate that large-scale plantations enhance regional clouds and rainfall and derive an index for predicting plantation impacts. Thus, desert plantations represent a unique environmental solution via predictable regional weather modification and carbon storage.

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