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Dynamics of an age‐structured population drawn from a random numbers table
Author(s) -
Murray Bertram G.
Publication year - 2000
Publication title -
austral ecology
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 0.688
H-Index - 87
eISSN - 1442-9993
pISSN - 1442-9985
DOI - 10.1046/j.1442-9993.2000.01053.x
Subject(s) - fecundity , demography , population , cohort , biology , population growth , density dependence , population density , per capita , generation time , population size , mortality rate , population dynamics , term (time) , statistics , growth rate , ecology , mathematics , physics , geometry , quantum mechanics , sociology
I constructed age‐structured populations by drawing numbers from a random numbers table, the constraints being that within a cohort each number be smaller than the preceding number (indicating that some individuals died between one year and the next) and that the first two‐digit number following 00 or 01 ending one cohort’s life be the number born into the next cohort. Populations constructed in this way showed prolonged existence with total population numbers fluctuating about a mean size and with long‐term growth rate ( r ) ≈ 0. The populations’ birth rates and growth rates and the females’ per capita fecundity decreased significantly with population size, whereas the death rates showed no significant relationship to population size. These results indicate that age‐structured populations can persist for long periods of time with long‐term growth rates of zero in the absence of negative‐feedback loops between a population’s present or prior density and its birth rate, growth rate, and fecundity, contrary to the assumption of density‐dependent regulation hypotheses. Thus, a long‐term growth rate of zero found in natural populations need not indicate that a population’s numbers are regulated by density‐dependent factors.