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Is acid base determination an accurate predictor of pyloric stenosis?
Author(s) -
Oakley E A,
Barnett P L J
Publication year - 2000
Publication title -
journal of paediatrics and child health
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 0.631
H-Index - 76
eISSN - 1440-1754
pISSN - 1034-4810
DOI - 10.1046/j.1440-1754.2000.00578.x
Subject(s) - medicine , pyloric stenosis , vomiting , pylorus , stenosis , gastroenterology , bicarbonate , logistic regression , stomach
Objective : To determine if acid base status predicts which vomiting patients have pyloric stenosis. Design : Retrospective chart review. Setting : Tertiary paediatric hospital. Methodology : We compared the clinical and biochemical parameters of 100 patients with a discharge diagnosis of pyloric stenosis and 84 patients of a similar age who presented to the emergency department with vomiting and who had an acid base determination. Patients were included from January 1995 to January 1997. Clinical correlates consisted of age, duration of vomiting, weight loss, gestation, and family history of pyloric stenosis. Biochemical correlates were pH, bicarbonate, base excess (BE), chloride, potassium, and sodium. Results : Independent variables of significance were pH, BE, chloride, bicarbonate, potassium, weight loss (all of which had a P value < 0.0001), and sex ( P = 0.006). Each variable was placed in a logistic regression equation with pyloric stenosis being the dominant variable. Variables of significance were pH ( P = 0.0001), BE ( P = 0.0001), and chloride ( P = 0.009). A model for predicting pyloric stenosis using these variables was then created with pH > 7.45, chloride < 98, and BE > +3, with a positive predictive value of 88%. Conclusion : Acid base determination is a useful screening tool when considering pyloric stenosis. This model now needs to be validated on a prospective series of patients with vomiting.