Premium
Recurrence intervals between exceedances of selected river levels: I. Introduction and a Markov Model
Author(s) -
McGilchrist C. A.,
Woodyer K. D.,
Chapman T. G.
Publication year - 1968
Publication title -
water resources research
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 1.863
H-Index - 217
eISSN - 1944-7973
pISSN - 0043-1397
DOI - 10.1029/wr004i001p00183
Subject(s) - confidence interval , statistics , markov chain , environmental science , mathematics , markov model , stage (stratigraphy) , conditional probability , hydrology (agriculture) , geology , geotechnical engineering , paleontology
Analysis of the frequency of exceedance of low river levels requires the examination of conditional probabilities. A first‐order Markov model is selected as a first approximation of the probability of exceedance of a selected stage for daily maximum water levels. Confidence limits are calculated on this basis.