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Testing the Global Warming Hypothesis
Author(s) -
Tsonis A. A.,
Elsner J. B.
Publication year - 1989
Publication title -
geophysical research letters
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 2.007
H-Index - 273
eISSN - 1944-8007
pISSN - 0094-8276
DOI - 10.1029/gl016i008p00795
Subject(s) - climatology , global warming , environmental science , atmospheric sciences , climate change , meteorology , geology , geography , oceanography
The temperature record for the global surface air temperature indicates that six of the warmest years occurred in the period 1980–1988. Here we address the question on the likelihood that such an arrangement is simply a manifestation of the natural variability of the system. Our results indicate that the probability that such an arrangement will arise naturally is between 0.010 and 0.032.