Open AccessEarthquake precursors: Banished forever?
Author(s) -
Gusev Alexander
Publication year - 1998
Publication title -
eos, transactions american geophysical union
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 0.316
H-Index - 86
eISSN - 2324-9250
pISSN - 0096-3941
DOI - 10.1029/98eo00051
Subject(s) - bandwagon effect , key (lock) , soviet union , history , seismology , hazard , forensic engineering , computer security , geology , law , computer science , engineering , political science , chemistry , organic chemistry , politics
“When a rupture starts, how can it know where will it stop?” [ Gregory Podyapolsky , 1973] Podyapolsky, a brilliant theorist, made this comment many years ago, upon perceiving that the earthquake prediction bandwagon in the Soviet Union was gaining speed. Twenty years later, we can observe just how far the bandwagon has gone. The report on the Assessment of Schemes for Earthquake Prediction Symposium [ Geller , 1997a], given by one of its key figures, provides some insight. I hazard to sum up the key points of this report as follows: