Open AccessNontrivial scaling in the loss of prediction information with aggregation in hourly precipitation occurrences
Author(s) -
Cârsteanu Alin,
FoufoulaGeorgiou Efi
Publication year - 1997
Publication title -
journal of geophysical research: atmospheres
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 1.67
H-Index - 298
eISSN - 2156-2202
pISSN - 0148-0227
DOI - 10.1029/96jd03530
Subject(s) - precipitation , storm , scaling , magnitude (astronomy) , environmental science , scale (ratio) , meteorology , scale invariance , climatology , statistical physics , atmospheric sciences , econometrics , statistics , mathematics , geology , geography , physics , cartography , geometry , astronomy
Predicting the occurrence of rainfall from past patterns of rain/no rain sequences is an issue that has recently regained attention through the application of information theory and dynamical systems, claiming the existence of an underlying complexity of deterministic origin. The present work reports a rather unexpected facet that appeared in the study of hourly precipitation occurrence pattern prediction: the temporal scale invariance of the probability of prediction failure for scales up to the order of magnitude of a storm duration.