Open AccessTranslated Emission Pathways (TEPs): Long‐Term Simulations of COVID‐19 CO 2 Emissions and Thermosteric Sea Level Rise Projections
Author(s) -
Gonzalez Alan R.,
Lin Ting
Publication year - 2022
Publication title -
earth's future
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 2.641
H-Index - 39
ISSN - 2328-4277
DOI - 10.1029/2021ef002453
Subject(s) - covid-19 , term (time) , environmental science , computer science , physics , virology , medicine , astronomy , outbreak , disease , pathology , infectious disease (medical specialty)
Within the scientific community, climate models have been established to relate long‐term emission scenarios to their respective environmental response. Although data at high resolutions can be obtained, this research framework is often computationally complex and offers limited readability for the general public. With the COVID‐19 pandemic bringing forth a new sense of lifestyle and reduced human activity, the CO 2 emission data related to this global event can be used to illustrate the context of climate science to a broader audience. This study proposes a series of translated emission pathways (TEPs) that consist of CO 2 emission patterns from the various phases of COVID‐19 response and demonstrate a resemblance to the forcing scenarios utilized within climate research. A simple climate model and radiative forcing expression are used to parameterize the CO 2 emission data from the TEPs to its respective atmospheric conditions. Thermosteric sea level rise is used as a metric of environmental impact to highlight the differences between the TEPs. By referencing the COVID‐19 pandemic and establishing a linear research framework, this study introduces climate research to the general public and serves as a call to action for environmental responsibility.