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Improved Prediction of Management‐Relevant Groundwater Discharge Characteristics Throughout River Networks
Author(s) -
Barclay J. R.,
Starn J. J.,
Briggs M. A.,
Helton A. M.
Publication year - 2020
Publication title -
water resources research
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 1.863
H-Index - 217
eISSN - 1944-7973
pISSN - 0043-1397
DOI - 10.1029/2020wr028027
Subject(s) - equifinality , baseflow , modflow , environmental science , groundwater discharge , hydrology (agriculture) , groundwater , aquifer , streams , discharge , groundwater flow , streamflow , groundwater model , geology , geography , ecology , drainage basin , computer network , cartography , geotechnical engineering , computer science , biology
Abstract Groundwater discharge zones connect aquifers to surface water, generating baseflow and serving as ecosystem control points across aquatic ecosystems. The influence of groundwater discharge on surface flow connectivity, fate and transport of contaminants and nutrients, and thermal habitat depends strongly on hydrologic characteristics such as the spatial distribution, age, and depth of source groundwater flow paths. Groundwater models have the potential to predict spatial discharge characteristics within river networks, but models are often not evaluated against these critical characteristics and model equifinality with respect to discharge processes is a known challenge. We quantify discharge characteristics across a suite of groundwater models with commonly used frameworks and calibration data. We developed a base model (MODFLOW‐NWT) for a 1,570‐km 2 watershed in the northeastern United States and varied the calibration data, control of river‐aquifer exchange directionality, and resolution. Most models ( n = 11 of 12) fit similarly to calibration metrics, but patterns in discharge location, flow path depth, and subsurface travel time varied substantially. We found (1) a 15% difference in the percent of discharge going to first‐order streams, (2) threefold variations in flow path depth, and (3) sevenfold variations in the subsurface travel times among the models. We recalibrated three models using a synthetic discharge location data set. Calibration with discharge location data reduced differences in simulated discharge characteristics, suggesting an approach to improved equifinality based on widespread field‐based mapping of discharge zones. Our work quantifying variation across common modeling approaches is an important step toward characterizing and improving predictions of groundwater discharge characteristics.