Open AccessThe Use of Ensembles in Space Weather Forecasting
Author(s) -
Guerra J. A.,
Murray S. A.,
Doornbos E.
Publication year - 2020
Publication title -
space weather
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 1.254
H-Index - 56
ISSN - 1542-7390
DOI - 10.1029/2020sw002443
Subject(s) - space weather , space (punctuation) , north american mesoscale model , weather forecasting , meteorology , computer science , weather prediction , point (geometry) , ensemble forecasting , weather research and forecasting model , geography , global forecast system , mathematics , geometry , operating system
Abstract In order to advance the use of ensembles in forecasting space weather events, the workshop Ensemble Forecasts in Space Weather: Science and Operations took place at the Lorentz Center in Leiden, The Netherlands, on 2–6 September 2019. The aim of this workshop was to bring together space weather scientists from academic institutions and operational centers and experts in ensemble techniques in terrestrial weather forecasting. Ensembles are currently used across all the subfields of space weather; however, there seems to be no community‐wide consensus about how to best utilize them. Therefore, the Testing, Understanding, and Leveraging Ensemble Predictions for Space Weather (TULEPS) working group was created to provide a starting point for the space weather community to the use of ensemble techniques.