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Global Uptake of Atmospheric Methane by Soil From 1900 to 2100
Author(s) -
MurguiaFlores Fabiola,
Ganesan Anita L.,
Arndt Sandra,
Hornibrook Edward R. C.
Publication year - 2021
Publication title -
global biogeochemical cycles
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 2.512
H-Index - 187
eISSN - 1944-9224
pISSN - 0886-6236
DOI - 10.1029/2020gb006774
Subject(s) - sink (geography) , environmental science , atmospheric sciences , methane , northern hemisphere , global change , environmental chemistry , hydrology (agriculture) , climate change , ecology , chemistry , biology , geology , geography , cartography , geotechnical engineering
Abstract Soil methanotrophy is the only biological process that removes methane (CH 4 ) from the atmosphere. There is good agreement about the size of the global sink but great uncertainty about its interannual variability and regional responses to changes in key environmental drivers. We used the process‐based methanotrophy model Methanotrophy Model (MeMo) v1.0 and output from global climate models to simulate regional and global changes in soil uptake of atmospheric CH 4 from 1900 to 2100. The annual global uptake doubled from 17.1 ± 2.4 to 37.2 ± 3.3 Tg yr −1 from 1900‐2015 and could increase further to 82.7 ± 4.4 Tg yr −1 by 2100 (RCP8.5), primarily due to enhanced diffusion of CH 4 into soil as a result of increases in atmospheric CH 4 mole fraction. We show that during the period 1980–2015 temperature became an important influence on the increasing rates of soil methanotrophy, particularly in the Northern Hemisphere. In RCP‐forced simulations the relative influence of temperature on changes in the uptake continues to increase, enhancing the soil sink through higher rates of methanotrophic metabolic activity, increases in the global area of active soil methanotrophy and length of active season. During the late 21st century under RCP6.0, temperature is predicted to become the dominant driver of changes in global mean soil uptake rates for the first time. Regionally, in Europe and Asia, nitrogen inputs dominate changes in soil methanotrophy, while soil moisture is the most important influence in tropical South America. These findings highlight that the soil sink could change in response to drivers other than atmospheric CH 4 mole fraction.