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Sensitivity of the northeast Asian summer monsoon to tropical sea surface temperatures
Author(s) -
Shin SangIk,
Sardeshmukh Prashant D.,
Yeh SangWook
Publication year - 2011
Publication title -
geophysical research letters
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 2.007
H-Index - 273
eISSN - 1944-8007
pISSN - 0094-8276
DOI - 10.1029/2011gl049391
Subject(s) - climatology , monsoon , sea surface temperature , oceanography , geology , tropical cyclone , tropical marine climate , east asian monsoon , environmental science , sensitivity (control systems) , tropics , atmospheric sciences , meteorology , geography , fishery , biology , electronic engineering , engineering
Observations indicate increasing trends of summer precipitation amount, intensity, and frequency of extremes over northeast Asia since the 1960s. Climate models are generally able to simulate such increases of precipitation over northeast Asia over the 2nd half of the 20th century, and project continuations of these trends in response to the projected warming of the tropical Indo‐Pacific Warm Pool, especially around the Philippines and the South China Sea. The principal basis for confidence in these projections is the simplicity and robustness of the mechanisms involved. In essence, the warming of these waters enhances the northward moisture transport from the tropics to northeast Asia, leading to an increase of the northeast Asian precipitation.