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Oscillatory sensitivity of Atlantic overturning to high‐latitude forcing
Author(s) -
Czeschel Lars,
Marshall David P.,
Johnson Helen L.
Publication year - 2010
Publication title -
geophysical research letters
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 2.007
H-Index - 273
eISSN - 1944-8007
pISSN - 0094-8276
DOI - 10.1029/2010gl043177
Subject(s) - forcing (mathematics) , ocean gyre , latitude , climatology , buoyancy , shutdown of thermohaline circulation , geology , environmental science , thermohaline circulation , oceanography , atmospheric sciences , north atlantic deep water , physics , subtropics , geodesy , quantum mechanics , fishery , biology
The Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) carries warm upper waters into northern high‐latitudes and returns cold deep waters southward. Under anthropogenic greenhouse gas forcing the AMOC is expected to weaken due to high‐latitude warming and freshening. Here, we show that the sensitivity of the AMOC to an impulsive forcing at high latitudes is an oscillatory function of forcing lead time. This leads to the counter‐intuitive result that a stronger AMOC can emerge as a result of, although some years after, anomalous warming at high latitudes. In our model study, there is no simple one‐to‐one correspondence between buoyancy forcing anomalies and AMOC variations, which retain memory of surface buoyancy fluxes in the subpolar gyre for 15–20 years. These results make it challenging to detect secular change from short observational time series.