Open AccessBiological Extreme Events: A Research Framework
Author(s) -
Gutschick Vincent P.,
BassiriRad Hormoz
Publication year - 2010
Publication title -
eos, transactions american geophysical union
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 0.316
H-Index - 86
eISSN - 2324-9250
pISSN - 0096-3941
DOI - 10.1029/2010eo090001
Subject(s) - extreme heat , flooding (psychology) , heat wave , climate change , environmental science , climatology , climate extremes , carbon dioxide in earth's atmosphere , extreme weather , global warming , atmospheric sciences , ecology , geography , biology , geology , psychology , psychotherapist
Efforts designed to understand and predict adaptation responses of organisms and populations to global climate change must make a clear distinction between responses to changes in average conditions (e.g., doubling of atmospheric carbon dioxide concentration accompanied by an average increase of 1°–3°C in global air temperature by the end of this century) and responses resulting from increased incidence of extreme events [Loehle and LeBlanc, 1996; Easterling et al., 2000; Garrett et al., 2006]. Such distinction is critical because, unlike changes in average conditions, extremes (e.g., megadroughts, fire, flooding, hurricanes, heat waves, and pest outbreaks) are typically short in duration but challenge organisms and populations considerably further beyond their ability to acclimate than those expected from average trends in climate changes.