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A 265‐year reconstruction of Lake Erie water levels based on North Pacific tree rings
Author(s) -
Wiles Gregory C.,
Krawiec Anne C.,
D'Arrigo Rosanne D.
Publication year - 2009
Publication title -
geophysical research letters
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 2.007
H-Index - 273
eISSN - 1944-8007
pISSN - 0094-8276
DOI - 10.1029/2009gl037164
Subject(s) - teleconnection , dendroclimatology , dendrochronology , climatology , pacific decadal oscillation , oceanography , structural basin , geology , environmental science , physical geography , climate change , pacific ocean , geography , el niño southern oscillation , paleontology
A dendroclimatic reconstruction based on tree ring chronologies from the Gulf of Alaska (GOA) explains 50% of the variance in annual Lake Erie levels. Temperature‐sensitive ring‐width series from the GOA are strongly and negatively correlated with annual lake levels, reflecting the Pacific North American (PNA) teleconnection pattern. Phases of the PNA are linked to variable circulation patterns that provide moisture to the Lake Erie basin, determining lake levels. The reconstruction extends back 265 years and shows that annual lake levels were high during the mid 1700s, the mid to late 1800s and the late 1900s. Relative low stands occurred during the late 1700s and early 1900s. The highest lake levels in the reconstruction are found over the past few decades, as seen in the observed record. Multidecadal‐scale fluctuations in the Lake Erie reconstruction underscore the importance of Pacific Decadal Variability in determining levels in the Great Lakes.