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Evidence for a modest undercount bias in early historical Atlantic tropical cyclone counts
Author(s) -
Mann Michael E.,
Sabbatelli Thomas A.,
Neu Urs
Publication year - 2007
Publication title -
geophysical research letters
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 2.007
H-Index - 273
eISSN - 1944-8007
pISSN - 0094-8276
DOI - 10.1029/2007gl031781
Subject(s) - tropical cyclone , climatology , tropical atlantic , climate change , environmental science , geography , geology , oceanography , sea surface temperature
We obtain new insights into the reliability of long‐term historical Atlantic tropical cyclone (‘TC’) counts through the use of a statistical model that relates variations in annual Atlantic TC counts to climate state variables. We find that the existence of a substantial undercount bias in late 19th through mid 20th century TC counts is inconsistent with the statistical relationship between TC counts and climate.