Open AccessU.K. Met Office forecast for Atlantic hurricane season
Author(s) -
AUTHOR_ID
Publication year - 2007
Publication title -
eos, transactions american geophysical union
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 0.316
H-Index - 86
eISSN - 2324-9250
pISSN - 0096-3941
DOI - 10.1029/2007eo270003
Subject(s) - atlantic hurricane , storm , climatology , tropical cyclone , environmental science , meteorology , geography , geology
GloSea, the U.K. Meteorological Office's computer model of the global atmosphere‐ocean system, has predicted a cooling trend in sea surface temperatures in the tropical North Atlantic that will result in a less active hurricane season. The Met Office has predicted that there is a 70% chance of a less active hurricane season in the North Atlantic this year, with only 7–13 named storms occurring within the remaining five months of the season (July through November). There have already been two named storms this year—Andrea and Barry. From 1990–2005, there were an average of 12.4 storms during July–November. The U.K. Met Office forecast contrasts with NOAA's, which was released in May and predicted a busier season than average, with 13–17 named storms.