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Possible linkages of late‐Holocene drought in the North American midcontinent to Pacific Decadal Oscillation and solar activity
Author(s) -
Tian Jian,
Nelson David M.,
Hu Feng Sheng
Publication year - 2006
Publication title -
geophysical research letters
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 2.007
H-Index - 273
eISSN - 1944-8007
pISSN - 0094-8276
DOI - 10.1029/2006gl028169
Subject(s) - holocene , δ18o , pacific decadal oscillation , climatology , geology , isotopes of oxygen , oceanography , paleoclimatology , climate change , el niño southern oscillation , physical geography , environmental science , geography , stable isotope ratio , geochemistry , physics , quantum mechanics
Paleorecords are key for evaluating the long‐term patterns and controls of drought. We analyzed calcite in annually laminated sediments from a Minnesota lake for oxygen‐isotopic composition ( δ 18 O). The δ 18 O record of the past ∼3100 years reveals that droughts of greater severity and duration than during the 20th century occurred repeatedly, especially prior to 300 AD. Drought variability was anomalously low during the 20th century; ∼90% of the variability values during the last 3100 years were greater than the 20th‐century average. δ 18 O is strongly correlated with the index of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) during the past 100 years, and periodicities of the late‐Holocene δ 18 O record are similar to those of the PDO. Furthermore, time series of δ 18 O and atmospheric Δ 14 C are generally coherent after 700 AD. Both the Pacific climate and solar irradiance probably played a role in drought occurrence, but their effects were non‐stationary through the late Holocene.