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Climate impacts of the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation
Author(s) -
Knight Jeff R.,
Folland Chris K.,
Scaife Adam A.
Publication year - 2006
Publication title -
geophysical research letters
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 2.007
H-Index - 273
eISSN - 1944-8007
pISSN - 0094-8276
DOI - 10.1029/2006gl026242
Subject(s) - atlantic multidecadal oscillation , climatology , predictability , northern hemisphere , climate model , north atlantic oscillation , hadcm3 , environmental science , climate oscillation , climate change , global warming , oceanography , general circulation model , effects of global warming , geology , gcm transcription factors , physics , quantum mechanics
The Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) is a near‐global scale mode of observed multidecadal climate variability with alternating warm and cool phases over large parts of the Northern Hemisphere. Many prominent examples of regional multidecadal climate variability have been related to the AMO, such as North Eastern Brazilian and African Sahel rainfall, Atlantic hurricanes and North American and European summer climate. The relative shortness of the instrumental climate record, however, limits confidence in these observationally derived relationships. Here, we seek evidence of these links in the 1400 year control simulation of the HadCM3 climate model, which produces a realistic long‐lived AMO as part of its internal climate variability. By permitting the analysis of more AMO cycles than are present in observations, we find that the model confirms the association of the AMO with almost all of the above phenomena. This has implications for the predictability of regional climate.