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Temporal variability in the strength of proxy‐climate correlations
Author(s) -
Aykroyd R. G.,
Lucy D.,
Pollard A. M.,
Carter A. H. C.,
Robertson I.
Publication year - 2001
Publication title -
geophysical research letters
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 2.007
H-Index - 273
eISSN - 1944-8007
pISSN - 0094-8276
DOI - 10.1029/2000gl012570
Subject(s) - proxy (statistics) , phenology , climatology , environmental science , climate change , dendrochronology , atmospheric sciences , mean radiant temperature , physical geography , geography , geology , statistics , ecology , mathematics , biology , archaeology
The strength of the correlation between annually resolved tree‐ring carbon isotope indices and climate was explored using a moving window technique. Significant variations in the correlation with fixed‐date monthly temperature were observed using a 15‐year moving window. To investigate the influence of phenological changes upon this relationship, a 20‐day moving window was applied to daily temperature data to define the period of optimal tree response. For oaks growing in east England, the strongest association began 87 days after initial bud burst, which corresponds to the opening of the second flush of leaves. These results demonstrate that daily climatic data may be used to calibrate proxy‐climate relationships.