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Are revised models better models? A skill score assessment of regional interannual variability
Author(s) -
Sperber Kenneth R.
Publication year - 1999
Publication title -
geophysical research letters
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 2.007
H-Index - 273
eISSN - 1944-8007
pISSN - 0094-8276
DOI - 10.1029/1999gl900227
Subject(s) - climatology , environmental science , monsoon , forecast skill , meteorology , geology , geography
Various skill scores are used to assess the performance of revised models relative to their original configurations. The interannual variability of all‐India, Sahel and Nordeste rainfall and summer monsoon windshear is examined in integrations performed under the experimental design of the Atmospheric Model Intercomparison Project. For the indices considered, the revised models exhibit greater fidelity at simulating the observed interannual variability. Interannual variability of all‐India rainfall is better simulated by models that have a more realistic rainfall climatology in the vicinity of India, indicating the beneficial effect of reducing systematic model error.

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