Open AccessModelling precipitation trends in England and Wales
Author(s) -
Mills Terence C.
Publication year - 2005
Publication title -
meteorological applications
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 0.672
H-Index - 59
eISSN - 1469-8080
pISSN - 1350-4827
DOI - 10.1017/s1350482705001611
Subject(s) - precipitation , climatology , environmental science , trend analysis , variety (cybernetics) , physical geography , meteorology , geography , statistics , geology , mathematics
Using a variety of trend extraction techniques applied to monthly observations from 1766 to 2002 on the EWP dataset, this study confirms that there is evidence of a trend towards wetter winters (November to March), particularly in December and January, and drier summers, although this feature appears to be concentrated in June and July. Trend precipitation in autumn (August to November) is more difficult to pin down, with alternative methods producing quite different trend patterns, thus highlighting how difficult it can be to extract trends from noisy data. In general, the results appear to be reasonably consistent with those of Alexander & Jones (2001) using rather different techniques, thus lending weight to the views expressed by them. Copyright © 2005 Royal Meteorological Society