Open AccessA novel mathematical model for COVID-19 with remedial strategies
Author(s) -
Shumaila Javeed,
Subtain Anjum,
Khurram Saleem Alimgeer,
M. Atif,
Mansoor Khan,
Wajiha Farooq,
Atif Hanif,
Hijaz Ahmad,
Shao-Wen Yao
Publication year - 2021
Publication title -
results in physics
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 0.743
H-Index - 56
ISSN - 2211-3797
DOI - 10.1016/j.rinp.2021.104248
Subject(s) - covid-19 , transmission (telecommunications) , outbreak , mathematical model , coronavirus , epidemic model , work (physics) , ode , computer science , mathematics , virology , engineering , infectious disease (medical specialty) , statistics , environmental health , biology , telecommunications , medicine , population , mechanical engineering , disease , pathology
Coronavirus (COVID-19) outbreak from Wuhan, Hubei province in China and spread out all over the World. In this work, a new mathematical model is proposed. The model consists the system of ODEs. The developed model describes the transmission pathways by employing non constant transmission rates with respect to the conditions of environment and epidemiology. There are many mathematical models purposed by many scientists. In this model, “αEand “αI, transmission coefficients of the exposed cases to susceptible and infectious cases to susceptible respectively, are included. “δas a governmental action and restriction against the spread of coronavirus is also introduced. The RK method of order four (RK4) is employed to solve the model equations. The results are presented for four countries i.e., Pakistan, Italy, Japan, and Spain etc. The parametric study is also performed to validate the proposed model.
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