Open AccessMigration from New-Accession Countries and Duration Expectancy in the EU-15: 2002–2008
Author(s) -
Jack DeWaard,
Jasmine Trang Ha,
James Raymer,
Arkadiusz Wiśniowski
Publication year - 2016
Publication title -
european journal of population
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 1.268
H-Index - 49
eISSN - 1572-9885
pISSN - 0168-6577
DOI - 10.1007/s10680-016-9383-3
Subject(s) - accession , european union , life expectancy , eu countries , duration (music) , developed country , developing country , demographic economics , demography , economics , international trade , economic growth , population , sociology , art , literature
European Union (EU) enlargements in 2004 and 2007 were accompanied by increased migration from new-accession to established-member (EU-15) countries. The impacts of these flows depend, in part, on the amount of time that persons from the former countries live in the latter over the life course. In this paper, we develop period estimates of duration expectancy in EU-15 countries among persons from new-accession countries. Using a newly developed set of harmonised Bayesian estimates of migration flows each year from 2002 to 2008 from the Integrated Modelling of European Migration (IMEM) Project, we exploit period age patterns of country-to-country migration and mortality to summarize the average number of years that persons from new-accession countries could be expected to live in EU-15 countries over the life course. In general, the results show that the amount of time that persons from new-accession countries could be expected to live in the EU-15 nearly doubled after 2004.