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On linear birth-and-death processes in a random environment
Author(s) -
Nicolas Bacaër,
Abdelkarim Ed-Darraz
Publication year - 2013
Publication title -
journal of mathematical biology
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 0.928
H-Index - 97
eISSN - 1432-1416
pISSN - 0303-6812
DOI - 10.1007/s00285-013-0696-0
Subject(s) - extinction probability , birth–death process , extinction (optical mineralogy) , mathematics , type (biology) , markov process , statistics , biology , demography , ecology , sociology , paleontology , population , population size
We study the probability of extinction for single-type and multi-type continuous-time linear birth-and-death processes in a finite Markovian environment. The probability of extinction is equal to 1 almost surely if and only if the basic reproduction number R(0) is ≤ 1, the key point being to identify a suitable definition of R(0) for such a result to hold.

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