Population Forecasts for South Pacific Nations using Autoregressive Models 1985 — 2000 | Zendy

Dennis A. Ahlburg | Zendy

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Population Forecasts for South Pacific Nations using Autoregressive Models 1985 — 2000

Author(s) -

Dennis A. Ahlburg

Publication year - 1987

Publication title -

journal of the australian population association

Language(s) - English

Resource type - Journals

ISSN - 0814-5725

DOI - 10.1007/bf03029414

Subject(s) - autoregressive model , american samoa , geography , population , government (linguistics) , population growth , econometrics , demography , economics , cartography , sociology , linguistics , philosophy

"This paper uses an autoregressive statistical model to forecast population for Fiji, Western Samoa, Tonga, Solomon Islands, and Vanuatu and compares these forecasts with those obtained from other methods. The growth rate of population is predicted to continue to fall in Fiji and Tonga, rise a little for Western Samoa, and rise considerably in Vanuatu and the Solomon Islands. The implications of the forecasts for recent government development plans are also discussed."

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