Premium
How rare is that storm or flood?
Author(s) -
Clark Colin
Publication year - 2019
Publication title -
weather
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 0.467
H-Index - 40
eISSN - 1477-8696
pISSN - 0043-1656
DOI - 10.1002/wea.3452
Subject(s) - storm , flood myth , simple (philosophy) , computer science , meteorology , hydrology (agriculture) , environmental science , history , geography , geology , archaeology , epistemology , philosophy , geotechnical engineering
The rarity of storms and floods is of great scientific and human importance. However, the data requirements of the methods of analysis have not been studied. As a result there has been great uncertainty and debate about the rarity of these events. By applying a simple test, this problem is largely overcome since more realistic estimates are produced. The new approach should be supported by historical evidence and physically–based estimates of maximum rainfall. The image shows part of the record for the River Isbourne at Hinton–onthe Green, for 1971–2003.