Open AccessSimulating intra‐hourly wind power fluctuations on a power system level
Author(s) -
Olauson Jon,
Bergkvist Mikael,
Rydén Jesper
Publication year - 2017
Publication title -
wind energy
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 0.743
H-Index - 92
eISSN - 1099-1824
pISSN - 1095-4244
DOI - 10.1002/we.2074
Subject(s) - wind power , electric power system , meteorology , computer science , power (physics) , environmental science , volatility (finance) , temporal resolution , wind speed , mathematics , engineering , econometrics , physics , quantum mechanics , electrical engineering
In wind integration studies, sub‐hourly, load synchronous wind data are often preferable. These datasets can be generated by a hybrid approach, combining hourly measurements or output from meteorological models with a stochastic simulation of the high‐frequency fluctuations. This paper presents a method for simulating aggregated intra‐hourly wind power fluctuations for a power system, taking into account the time‐varying volatility seen in measurements. Some key elements in the modelling were transformations to stationarity, the use of frequency domain techniques including a search for appropriate phase angles and an adjustment of the resulting time series in order to get correct hourly means. Generation data from Denmark and Germany with 5 and 15 min temporal resolution were used for training models. It is shown that the distribution and non‐stationarity of simulated deviations from hourly means closely follow those of measurements. Power spectral densities and step change distributions agree well. Of particular importance is that the results are good also when the training and objective power systems are not the same. The computational cost is low in comparison with other approaches for generating high‐frequency data. Copyright © 2016 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.