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Projecting hydropower production under future climates: a guide for decision‐makers and modelers to interpret and design climate change impact assessments
Author(s) -
Schaefli Bettina
Publication year - 2015
Publication title -
wiley interdisciplinary reviews: water
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 2.413
H-Index - 24
ISSN - 2049-1948
DOI - 10.1002/wat2.1083
Subject(s) - hydropower , climate change , renewable energy , electricity , production (economics) , environmental science , environmental resource management , environmental planning , environmental economics , natural resource economics , engineering , economics , ecology , electrical engineering , macroeconomics , biology
Hydropower is a key energy source in almost all world regions. It fuels social and economic development, ensures electricity security, and is a pillar for renewable electricity production. But hydropower and its environmental impacts are vulnerable to climate change. This discussion of model‐based climate change impact assessments and underlying modeling assumptions will help decision‐makers and scientists analyzing existing studies and identifying the most urgent open questions. Rooted in hydrological uncertainty analysis, this discussion focuses on the importance of local factors and on modeling uncertainties for a critical view on our ability to project future hydropower production in different world regions. WIREs Water 2015, 2:271–289. doi: 10.1002/wat2.1083 This article is categorized under: Engineering Water > Planning Water Science of Water > Water and Environmental Change