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Selecting the forecast interval of wind generations
Author(s) -
Wei Wei,
Liu Feng,
Mei Shengwei
Publication year - 2016
Publication title -
ieej transactions on electrical and electronic engineering
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 0.254
H-Index - 30
eISSN - 1931-4981
pISSN - 1931-4973
DOI - 10.1002/tee.22197
Subject(s) - interval (graph theory) , forecast error , wind power , computer science , probability distribution , operations research , mathematical optimization , meteorology , statistics , mathematics , econometrics , engineering , geography , electrical engineering , combinatorics
This letter proposes a data‐driven and optimization‐based approach for determining the interval of wind generation forecast without knowing the exact probability distribution of the forecast error. This method requires rough information and is easy to implement. Comparative tests show its potential of practical application. © 2015 Institute of Electrical Engineers of Japan. Published by John Wiley & Sons, Inc.