Premium
Evaluation of diagnostic results by Bayes' theorem
Author(s) -
Shindo Takatoshi,
Takahashi Tsuguhiro,
Okamoto Tatsuki,
Kuraishi Takashi
Publication year - 2012
Publication title -
ieej transactions on electrical and electronic engineering
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 0.254
H-Index - 30
eISSN - 1931-4981
pISSN - 1931-4973
DOI - 10.1002/tee.21756
Subject(s) - bayes' theorem , computer science , data mining , reliability engineering , statistics , risk analysis (engineering) , bayesian probability , mathematics , engineering , artificial intelligence , medicine
Application of Bayes' theorem for the evaluation of diagnostic results of electric facilities is described. A concept of risk assessment method based on the diagnosis results is proposed and the effects of various parameters on the risk are clarified. Based on these results, a rational renewal scheme using diagnostic results is proposed. In addition, the prior probability based on the data of actual facilities is investigated and it is found that the data available so far is insufficient and more data are required for the detailed analysis. © 2012 Institute of Electrical Engineers of Japan. Published by John Wiley & Sons, Inc.