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Optimal screening schedules for prevention of metastatic cancer
Author(s) -
Hanin Leonid,
Pavlova Lyudmila
Publication year - 2012
Publication title -
statistics in medicine
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 1.996
H-Index - 183
eISSN - 1097-0258
pISSN - 0277-6715
DOI - 10.1002/sim.5474
Subject(s) - breast cancer , computer science , cancer , breast cancer screening , population , cancer screening , machine learning , medicine , mammography , environmental health
We develop methodological, mathematical, statistical, and computational approaches to constructing schedules of cancer screening that maximize the probability that by the time of primary tumor detection it has not yet metastasized. Solving this problem is based on a comprehensive mechanistic model of cancer progression. We apply the model with realistic parameters and the screening optimization methodology to mammographic screening for breast cancer within the American female population. We uncover some general patterns of optimal screening schedules. We show that optimization of screening regimens leads to a significant reduction in the probability of detecting breast cancer that has already disseminated. Copyright © 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.