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Correcting reported aids incidence: A statistical approach
Author(s) -
Heisterkamp S. H.,
Jager J. C.,
Ruitenberg E. J.,
Van Druten J. A. M.,
Downs A. M.
Publication year - 1989
Publication title -
statistics in medicine
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 1.996
H-Index - 183
eISSN - 1097-0258
pISSN - 0277-6715
DOI - 10.1002/sim.4780080807
Subject(s) - incidence (geometry) , data collection , statistics , maximum likelihood , parametric statistics , computer science , time lag , lag , medicine , econometrics , mathematics , computer network , geometry
This study is motivated by the time lag between date of diagnosis of AIDS cases and date of reporting, which results in incomplete data about the epidemic. A maximum likelihood procedure has been developed to adjust the actual numbers of diagnosed AIDS cases for reporting delay. If a parametric function for describing past and future incidence is assumed, its parameters and the adjustment for reporting delay can be estimated simultaneously. Data from the WHO Collaborating Centre on AIDS, Paris, are used. Practical problems related to data collection are dealt with.

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