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Impact assessment in the automotive industry: mandatory market introduction of alternative powertrain technologies
Author(s) -
Walther Grit,
Wansart Jörg,
Kieckhäfer Karsten,
Schnieder Eckehard,
Spengler Thomas S.
Publication year - 2010
Publication title -
system dynamics review
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 0.491
H-Index - 57
eISSN - 1099-1727
pISSN - 0883-7066
DOI - 10.1002/sdr.453
Subject(s) - powertrain , automotive industry , greenhouse gas , alternative fuel vehicle , business , compliance (psychology) , environmental economics , engineering , transport engineering , risk analysis (engineering) , alternative fuels , automotive engineering , economics , psychology , ecology , social psychology , physics , diesel fuel , biology , torque , thermodynamics , aerospace engineering
Increasing numbers of regulatory measures are being introduced worldwide to reduce emissions from the transportation sector. In California, whose low emission vehicle regulations have a leading position worldwide, automobile manufacturers must reduce greenhouse gas emissions of their vehicle fleet (GHG regulations) and sell increasing shares of zero emission vehicles (ZEV regulations). Manufacturers have to pay high penalties in case of non‐compliance. A dynamic simulation model examines fundamental automobile manufacturer strategies for compliance. Co‐evolutionary development of powertrain technologies, corresponding infrastructure coverage, vehicle types offered, and customer behavior during the adjustment to regulations, is considered. The model is applied to a case study considering the state of California. Results show that meeting requirements necessitates an early introduction of alternative powertrains in many vehicle segments. Feedback between GHG and ZEV regulations necessitates the development of joint compliance strategies. Recommendations are derived concerning appropriate manufacturer strategies for complying with California's regulations. Copyright © 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.