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A system dynamics approach to land use transport interaction modelling: the strategic model MARS and its application
Author(s) -
Pfaffenbichler Paul,
Emberger Günter,
Shepherd Simon
Publication year - 2010
Publication title -
system dynamics review
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 0.491
H-Index - 57
eISSN - 1099-1727
pISSN - 0883-7066
DOI - 10.1002/sdr.451
Subject(s) - computer science , mars exploration program , transferability , cellular automaton , operations research , statistical model , econometric model , space (punctuation) , management science , industrial engineering , artificial intelligence , machine learning , engineering , physics , logit , astronomy , operating system
Land use transport interaction models have been developed in various forms dating back to the early 1960s. They have moved from spatial interaction models or statistical models through econometric models to micro‐simulation, cell‐based automata and agent‐based models. There has been a move towards more detail in representing space and individual behaviour. This paper presents an alternative approach which uses an intentionally developed strategic high‐level model. Nevertheless this model still delivers comparable levels of statistical fit in terms of validation but is easy to present to decision makers and planners. The paper introduces the concepts behind the MARS model, deals with validation and transferability between cities and provides example applications. Copyright © 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.