Premium
Causal policy maps of managers: Formal methods for elicitation and analysis
Author(s) -
Hall Roger I.,
Aitchison Peter W.,
Kocay William L.
Publication year - 1994
Publication title -
system dynamics review
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 0.491
H-Index - 57
eISSN - 1099-1727
pISSN - 0883-7066
DOI - 10.1002/sdr.4260100402
Subject(s) - closing (real estate) , computer science , policy analysis , intelligence analysis , path (computing) , operations research , causal analysis , management science , artificial intelligence , risk analysis (engineering) , political science , computer security , engineering , business , public administration , programming language , law
A connection is traced from the informal policy maps of managers, to some formal methods that have been reported for eliciting causal policy maps from the minds of managers, to commercially available computer‐driven methods for storing, displaying, and analyzing policy maps in a group setting. A gap in available techniques for analyzing policy maps is identified, and a path‐finding algorithm built into an artificial intelligence program is put forward as a step toward closing this gap. It is used to demonstrate a causal‐map analysis as an aid to a group policy meeting.