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Exploring natural and anthropogenic variation of climate
Author(s) -
Manabe S.,
Knutson T. R.,
Stouffer R. J.,
Delworth T. L.
Publication year - 2001
Publication title -
quarterly journal of the royal meteorological society
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 1.744
H-Index - 143
eISSN - 1477-870X
pISSN - 0035-9009
DOI - 10.1002/qj.49712757102
Subject(s) - parametrization (atmospheric modeling) , climatology , context (archaeology) , environmental science , geophysical fluid dynamics , natural (archaeology) , climate model , atmosphere (unit) , variation (astronomy) , sea surface temperature , atmospheric sciences , meteorology , climate change , geology , geography , oceanography , physics , paleontology , quantum mechanics , radiative transfer , astrophysics
This lecture discusses the low‐frequency variability of surface temperature using a coupled ocean‐atmosphere‐land‐surface model developed at the Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory/NOAA. Despite the highly idealized parametrization of various physical processes, the coupled model simulates reasonably well the variability of local and global mean surface temperature. The first half of the lecture explores the basic physical mechanisms responsible for the variability. The second half examines the trends of local surface temperature during the last half century in the context of decadal variability simulated by the coupled model.