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A Markov chain model for daily rainfall occurrence at Tel Aviv
Author(s) -
Gabriel K. R.,
Neumann J.
Publication year - 1962
Publication title -
quarterly journal of the royal meteorological society
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 1.744
H-Index - 143
eISSN - 1477-870X
pISSN - 0035-9009
DOI - 10.1002/qj.49708837511
Subject(s) - tel aviv , markov chain , environmental science , climatology , meteorology , geography , mathematics , statistics , geology , computer science , library science
A Markov chain probability model is found to fit Tel Aviv data of daily rainfall occurrence. This accounts for the form of the distributions of dry and of wet spells and of weather ‘cycles’ which have been presented in earlier papers. Further aspects of rainfall occurrence patterns may be derived as well, and are found to fit the data. In particular, the distribution of the number of rainy days per week, month or other period is obtained. Numbers of rainy days in different months are apparently independent.