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A power law for reduced precision at small spatial scales: Experiments with an SQG model
Author(s) -
Thornes Tobias,
Düben Peter,
Palmer Tim
Publication year - 2018
Publication title -
quarterly journal of the royal meteorological society
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 1.744
H-Index - 143
eISSN - 1477-870X
pISSN - 0035-9009
DOI - 10.1002/qj.3303
Subject(s) - range (aeronautics) , scale (ratio) , computer science , accuracy and precision , power (physics) , algorithm , environmental science , mathematics , statistics , physics , materials science , quantum mechanics , composite material
Representing all variables in double‐precision in weather and climate models may be a waste of computer resources, especially when simulating the smallest spatial scales, which are more difficult to accurately observe and model than are larger scales. Recent experiments have shown that reducing to single‐precision would allow real‐world models to run considerably faster without incurring significant errors. Here, the effects of reducing precision to even lower levels are investigated in the Surface Quasi‐Geostrophic system, an idealised system that exhibits a similar power‐law spectrum to that of energy in the real atmosphere, by emulating reduced precision on conventional hardware. It is found that precision can be reduced much further for the smallest scales than the largest scales without inducing significant macroscopic error, according to a −4/3 power law, motivating the construction of a “scale‐selective” reduced‐precision model that performs as well as a double‐precision control in short‐ and long‐range forecasts but for a much lower estimated computational cost. A similar scale‐selective approach in real‐world models could save resources that could be re‐invested to allow these models to be run at greater resolution, complexity or ensemble size, potentially leading to more efficient, more accurate forecasts.

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