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The potential for skill across the range of the seamless weather‐climate prediction problem: a stimulus for our science
Author(s) -
Hoskins Brian
Publication year - 2012
Publication title -
quarterly journal of the royal meteorological society
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 1.744
H-Index - 143
eISSN - 1477-870X
pISSN - 0035-9009
DOI - 10.1002/qj.1991
Subject(s) - predictability , weather prediction , predictive power , climate science , climatology , computer science , climate change , meteorology , environmental science , mathematics , geology , geography , statistics , physics , oceanography , quantum mechanics
Predictability is considered in the context of the seamless weather‐climate prediction problem, and the notion is developed that there can be predictive power on all time‐scales. On all scales there are phenomena that occur as well as longer time‐scales and external conditions that should combine to give some predictability. To what extent this theoretical predictability may actually be realised and, further, to what extent it may be useful is not clear. However the potential should provide a stimulus to, and high profile for, our science and its application for many years. Copyright © 2012 Royal Meteorological Society