Recent developments in population projection methodology: a review | Zendy

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Recent developments in population projection methodology: a review

Author(s) -

Wilson Tom,

Rees Phil

Publication year - 2005

Publication title -

population, space and place

Language(s) - English

Resource type - Journals

SCImago Journal Rank - 1.398

H-Index - 68

eISSN - 1544-8452

pISSN - 1544-8444

DOI - 10.1002/psp.389

Subject(s) - population projection , projection (relational algebra) , population , projections of population growth , regional science , probabilistic logic , key (lock) , geography , research methodology , econometrics , computer science , sociology , demography , artificial intelligence , mathematics , algorithm , computer security

In this paper we survey five streams of research that have made important contributions to population projection methodology over the last decade. These are: (i) the evaluation of population forecasts; (ii) probabilistic methods; (iii) experiments in the projection of migration; (iv) projecting dimensions additional to age, sex and region; and (v) the use of scenarios for ‘what if?’ analyses and understanding population dynamics. Key developments in these areas are discussed, and a number of opportunities for further research are identified. Copyright © 2005 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.

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