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A model for forecasting intermittent skilled home nursing needs
Author(s) -
Johansen Sonja,
Bowles Sharon,
Haney Glenna
Publication year - 1988
Publication title -
research in nursing and health
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 0.836
H-Index - 85
eISSN - 1098-240X
pISSN - 0160-6891
DOI - 10.1002/nur.4770110605
Subject(s) - simple (philosophy) , medicine , home health , nursing , health care , nursing homes , health care delivery , medical emergency , philosophy , epistemology , economics , economic growth
The problem of forecasting the need and the cost for post‐discharge skilled home nursing services is addressed by a simple statistical model. The model, assumptions, and simple calculations are described. Use of the model is illustrated with 7598 cancer patients and 2337 myocardial infarction patients. Simulation of the impact of changes in the health care delivery system toward greater and lesser severity of hospitalized patients is carried out. Two key projections illustrating the model's output are the number of patients with these diseases who will need care and the cost of that care.