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Shrub‐rings used to reconstruct drought history of the central Alxa desert, northwest China
Author(s) -
Ding AiJun,
Xiao ShengChun,
Peng XiaoMei,
Tian QuanYan,
Han Chao
Publication year - 2021
Publication title -
international journal of climatology
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 1.58
H-Index - 166
eISSN - 1097-0088
pISSN - 0899-8418
DOI - 10.1002/joc.7108
Subject(s) - shrub , proxy (statistics) , climatology , china , geography , physical geography , dendrochronology , growing season , climate change , deserts and xeric shrublands , environmental science , ecology , geology , habitat , archaeology , biology , machine learning , computer science
Abstract The climate history of the Alxa desert of northwestern China must be sought both in recent instrumental records (dating from 1960) and in high‐resolution proxy data. Climate proxies are scarce in desert areas; however, long‐lived desert shrubs can offer one such proxy. We have used shrub‐ring data from Zygophyllum xanthoxylum , collected in the central Alxa desert, to reconstruct the Self‐calibrating Palmer Drought Severity Index (scPDSI) for the period 1880–2015. The data covers the May–July growth season. When we compared the history constructed from the shrub‐ring data with the instrumental data collected 1960–2015, we found that the reconstructed history explained 41% of the variance in scPDSI data (40% after adjusting for loss of degrees of freedom). The reconstructed history shows that this region has experienced six persistent droughts and four seasons wetter than usual during the period under study. Of note is a severe drought event in 1920s that affected much of northern China (as noted in contemporary documents). The droughts and wet seasons identified in our reconstruction are consistent with reports from other researchers who have studied the climate history or the region. Our study suggests that it is feasible to reconstruct climate history using shrub‐ring data from long‐lived desert shrubs.