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Understanding the inter‐decadal variability of autumn precipitation over North Central China using model simulations
Author(s) -
Qin Minhua,
Dai Aiguo,
Li Dongliang,
Hua Wenjian
Publication year - 2020
Publication title -
international journal of climatology
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 1.58
H-Index - 166
eISSN - 1097-0088
pISSN - 0899-8418
DOI - 10.1002/joc.6245
Subject(s) - pacific decadal oscillation , climatology , precipitation , environmental science , advection , forcing (mathematics) , atmospheric circulation , sea surface temperature , atmospheric sciences , geology , geography , meteorology , physics , thermodynamics
A recent study has shown a robust relationship between the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) and inter‐decadal variations in autumn precipitation over North Central China (NCC). However, the physical processes underlying these inter‐decadal precipitation variations are not fully understood. Here we analyse multi‐member ensembles of atmospheric reanalysis and model simulations to examine the atmospheric and precipitation responses to sea surface temperature (SST) forcing. Despite the large inter‐member spread resulting from atmospheric internal variability, the model simulations forced by the observed SSTs show an important role of mid‐latitude atmospheric circulation in influencing the inter‐decadal precipitation variations over NCC. We also analyse the sensitivity experiments using three atmospheric models forced by the Inter‐decadal Pacific Oscillation (IPO)/PDO‐like SST fields. The results suggest that the SST anomalies associated with a negative IPO phase can induce anomalous positive pressure anomalies over the East Asia‐Japan‐North Pacific region, which weakens the East Asian trough (EAT) and produces southerly advection of warm and moist air into NCC, leading to increased precipitation there. This study provides a depiction of how the IPO/PDO‐associated SSTs induce inter‐decadal oscillations in mid‐latitude atmospheric circulations, which in turn cause inter‐decadal precipitation variations over NCC.